Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.646467 0.732806 0.824865 0.930160 1.047089 1.172778 1.317927
2025-08-31 0.508838 0.627835 0.764109 0.930998 1.129107 1.355966 1.634567
2025-09-07 0.419137 0.559000 0.729896 0.952339 1.232285 1.570818 2.008830
2025-09-14 0.339889 0.487990 0.680298 0.945098 1.296521 1.742735 2.347292
2025-09-21 0.286437 0.440263 0.651443 0.957372 1.383013 1.947103 2.742527
2025-09-28 0.236736 0.388670 0.608684 0.943077 1.429267 2.099529 3.079741
2025-10-05 0.211580 0.368280 0.606092 0.982907 1.551869 2.362945 3.585994
2025-10-12 0.190189 0.349850 0.603046 1.020031 1.671846 2.629729 4.114598
2025-10-19 0.166416 0.323431 0.583486 1.028237 1.747158 2.834938 4.566085
2025-10-26 0.145591 0.298500 0.562586 1.030796 1.812008 3.026810 5.007997
2025-11-02 0.127865 0.276127 0.542734 1.031936 1.872997 3.214847 5.453699
2025-11-09 0.112636 0.255881 0.523730 1.031678 1.930206 3.398868 5.902275
2025-11-16 0.099793 0.238544 0.508299 1.036794 1.998129 3.606891 6.406412
2025-11-23 0.086951 0.219019 0.486201 1.027177 2.039148 3.772829 6.852144
2025-11-30 0.078647 0.207842 0.478843 1.044086 2.128257 4.024736 7.454718
2025-12-07 0.068688 0.191123 0.458038 1.032491 2.163629 4.185669 7.911959
2025-12-14 0.061979 0.180833 0.449227 1.043509 2.241624 4.425327 8.517177
2025-12-21 0.053967 0.165788 0.428081 1.026769 2.264390 4.566739 8.957119
2025-12-28 0.051055 0.163350 0.434705 1.068867 2.405406 4.931124 9.812310
2026-01-04 0.048181 0.160493 0.439957 1.108323 2.543687 5.297716 10.689263
2026-01-11 0.043714 0.152349 0.431630 1.116850 2.619163 5.550033 11.369106
2026-01-18 0.039414 0.143819 0.421209 1.119422 2.682053 5.781248 12.020503
2026-01-25 0.035518 0.135694 0.410689 1.120541 2.741561 6.008599 12.674947